Ekstra Bladet kan formidle en meningsmåling, der viser, at borgerlige vælgere foretrækker Søren Pape Poulsen frem for Jakob Ellemann-Jensen som statsminister. Ekstra Bladet kalder det selv for en ‘vild måling’. Meningsmålingen er foretaget af Kantar Gallup, men det bliver ikke meldt ud, hvem der har bestilt og betalt for meningsmålingen. Dette er selvsagt et problem, […]
Category: blog
Assorted links #17
481. Passport Index 482. The Owen Wilson Wow API 483. Think about Equity 484. The Mathematics of 2048: Optimal Play with Markov Decision Processes 485. The Dynamics of Exploration on Spotify 486. The Psychology of Design 487. Academic career advice 488. How I learned to suck less at Chess 489. John Locke’s recipe for Pancakes […]
Hvor mange vil stemme på Inger Støjbergs parti? #2
I mit forrige indlæg om, hvor stor opbakning der er til Inger Støjbergs nye parti, pointerede jeg, at der var et problem med målinger, der gav et misvisende billede af opbakningen til partiet. Derfor konkluderede jeg, at vi er “bedre tjent med traditionelle meningsmålinger eller målinger, der ikke eksplicit handler om at stemme på et […]
How effective is nudging? #3
In a previous post, I discussed a study by Mertens et al. (2022) showing that the average effect size of nudging is large (i.e., a Cohen’s d of 0.45). In my post, I identified several limitations in the study that led me to conclude that the average effect size presented in the study most likely […]
Book Review: Strength in Numbers
In a new book, Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them, G. Elliott Morris sets out to provide an ‘insightful exploration of political polling and a bold defense of its crucial role in a modern democracy’. I am interested in political polling and, unsuprisingly, I was looking forward to reading this […]