Category: blog

Patrick English, a pollster at YouGov and political scientist, has written a great post on how YouGov used their panel to avoid a ‘false recall miss’ in their Danish General Election polling. The post is worth your attention, especailly if you are not familiar with the concept of ‘false recall’ in polls. Here is the […]

A new study argues that Donald Trump’s 2020 electoral defeat had a sizeable negative effect on expressed support for the far-right party VOX in Spain. Here is what the study shows: Empirically, we demonstrate that the (naturally occurring) treatment assignment afforded by the quasi-experimental setting in Spain led to a significant fall in self-reported voting […]

Simon Straubinger har opdateret hans GitHub repository med valgresultater fra folketingsvalg, så det nu også inkluderer data fra det seneste folketingsvalg. Det fik mig til at lave et par tabeller i R med resultatet (herunder også med information om bl.a. stemmeprocenten). Jeg tilføjede også en rød baggrund til de partier, der ikke fik nok stemmer […]

Tidligere i år skrev jeg et indlæg omkring opbakningen til Frie Grønne. På baggrund af hvordan partiet klarede sig i meningsmålingerne, skrev jeg, at det var “meget svært at se partiet have en jordisk chance for, at blive valgt ind ved næste valg.” Vi har nu haft et folketingsvalg, hvor vi må konkludere, at meningsmålingerne […]

When I have published in a journal managed by Elsevier, I have had to fill out ‘Highlights’. According to Elsevier, these highlights are ‘bullet points that help increase the discoverability of your article via search engines.’ My problem with this is not only that we already have keywords for journal articles, but that I do […]