Category: blog

How good are opinion polls to capture election results in parliamentary elections? To answer this question, I collected data on 40,139 opinion polls, covering elections in 37 countries (238,019 unique party-election observations). The data comes from a variety of sources, including European Opinion Polls as Open Data, POLITICO Poll of Polls, Wikipedia, and country-specific datasets […]

1143. Notes on The Gambia 1144. The Story of Titanium 1145. and then? ↪ This is good advice: “If you’re trying to get through your work as quickly as you can, then maybe you should see if you can find a different line of work. And if you’re trying to get through your leisure-time reading […]

The conclusion in the wake of the Brexit referendum was that the referendum was a failure for the opinion polls. In other words, the polls got it all wrong. Here is one representative example from The Guardian on the media coverage following the referendum: “It wasn’t just a bad night for Europhiles and David Cameron, […]

1895. Data Vis Dispatch: July 4, July 11, July 18, July 25 1896. Using a Data Dictionary to Recode Columns with dplyr 1897. The ave() Function in R 1898. Lessons Learned From Running R in Production 1899. Unit Testing Analytics Code 1900. A Gentle Introduction to Docker 1901. Road trip analysis! How to use and […]

I saw a new study published in Journal of Conflict Resolution. Here is a part of the abstract I found interesting: “Offering a first quantitative test of domestic drivers of transnational repression, using multivariate regression analysis, the paper finds that as repression intensifies domestically, the likelihood of that state subsequently escalating its transnational repression also […]