Jeg har i tidligere indlæg belyst og diskuteret, hvor mange vælgere, der vil stemme på Lars Løkke Rasmussens nye parti, Moderaterne. Disse indlæg var skrevet før vi havde gode meningsmålinger, der kunne bruges til at sige noget kvalificeret herom. Vi har siden da set en håndfuld meningsmålinger, der inkluderer Moderaterne. Det er kun tre af […]
Category: blog
Statistical issues
Here is a collection of statistical issues and misunderstandings you often will encounter in empirical research. My plan is to add more examples in the future. Issue Description Source Absence of evidence fallacy No evidence for a finding should not be interpreted as there is evidence of its absence. Altman and Bland (1995) Berkson’s paradox […]
Meningsmålinger på Politologi.dk #3
I 2020 foretog jeg en række større ændringer til mine visualiseringer af meningsmålingerne på Politologi.dk. Siden da har jeg lavet et par små tilføjelser i ny og næ, eksempelvis når nye partier melder deres ankomst. På det seneste har jeg dog også tilføjet nogle ekstra funktioner på siden, som jeg gennemgår her. Meningsmålinger fra forskellige […]
New article in British Journal of Political Science: Dynamic Political Interest
In the new issue of British Journal of Political Science, you will find an article by me. Here is the abstract: In order to explain differences in political interest, two strands of literature point to the relevance of either dispositional or situational factors. I remedy this and show how political interest is shaped by the […]
Ten ways to slightly improve your life without really trying
In The Guardian, there is an article with a list of 100 ways to slightly improve your life (without really trying). I do not agree with all of them (for various reasons), so I decided to pick out the ten I believe provide the greatest marginal gain: Get the lighting right: turn off the overhead […]