I sometimes watch Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CSGO). I am not a fan of a specific team, but I like to watch good Counter-Strike. It is the combination of strategy and fast-paced gameplay that I find great (most likely the same reason I enjoy watching bullet chess). I have recently been interested in how to quantify […]
Category: blog
Idé til bog om folketingsvalg
Her er et forslag til en bog, jeg gerne vil læse (og gerne ville skrive, hvis jeg havde haft tid): En bog der gennemgår hovedtemaer og tendenser ved alle danske folketingsvalg. Her er twistet: Det skal ikke være en kronologisk gennemgang af folketingsvalgene. Tværtimod. Det skal være folketingsvalg introduceret i omvendt kronologisk rækkefølge. Det vil […]
False recall in the Danish General Election polling
Patrick English, a pollster at YouGov and political scientist, has written a great post on how YouGov used their panel to avoid a ‘false recall miss’ in their Danish General Election polling. The post is worth your attention, especailly if you are not familiar with the concept of ‘false recall’ in polls. Here is the […]
Donald Trump’s defeat and electoral contagion
A new study argues that Donald Trump’s 2020 electoral defeat had a sizeable negative effect on expressed support for the far-right party VOX in Spain. Here is what the study shows: Empirically, we demonstrate that the (naturally occurring) treatment assignment afforded by the quasi-experimental setting in Spain led to a significant fall in self-reported voting […]
Tabel med valgresultatet i R
Simon Straubinger har opdateret hans GitHub repository med valgresultater fra folketingsvalg, så det nu også inkluderer data fra det seneste folketingsvalg. Det fik mig til at lave et par tabeller i R med resultatet (herunder også med information om bl.a. stemmeprocenten). Jeg tilføjede også en rød baggrund til de partier, der ikke fik nok stemmer […]