Why do we need opinion polls? It is a good question. We need air to breathe, but we do not need opinion polls, right? While I believe it is a fair question, I also believe it is often misguided or misleading to say that opinion polls are unnecessary. The reason being that we tend to […]
Category: public opinion
Meningsmålinger på Politologi.dk #5
I mit forrige indlæg omkring meningsmålinger på Politologi.dk introducerede jeg en række mindre ændringer, primært af teknisk karakter. Min oprindelige plan var at jeg kunne gøre noget lignende i det efterfølgende indlæg (altså dette), men little did I know – sådan skulle det ikke være. I dette indlæg bringer jeg én større ændring, der allerede […]
Meningsmålinger og misinformation
Der er tre måder vi kan forstå meningsmålinger og misinformation på. De er hver især relateret til hhv. forkerte meningsmålinger, korrekte meningsmålinger og ingen meningsmålinger. Min pointe i dette indlæg vil være, at det ikke kun handler om at have “korrekte” meningsmålinger, når vi taler om misinformation, men at der er forskellige måder hvorpå meningsmålingerne […]
The big data paradox and opinion polls
The first scene in Annie Hall is Woody Allen’s character telling the following joke: “There’s an old joke – um… two elderly women are at a Catskill mountain resort, and one of ’em says, “Boy, the food at this place is really terrible.” The other one says, “Yeah, I know; and such small portions.”” I […]
False recall in the Danish General Election polling
Patrick English, a pollster at YouGov and political scientist, has written a great post on how YouGov used their panel to avoid a ‘false recall miss’ in their Danish General Election polling. The post is worth your attention, especailly if you are not familiar with the concept of ‘false recall’ in polls. Here is the […]