The world is full of noise. This is not a novel insight. Luckily, the power of statistical models to predict human behaviour is limited, and if a model is able to predict all relevant variation in an outcome of interest, we should be concerned about overfitting and other potential problems. There are good reasons why […]
Author: Erik Gahner Larsen
Which party do you think is most likely to agree?
In a new poll, JL Partners surveyed more than 2,000 respondents to understand how the public perceives the Labour Party and the Conservative Party on a series of different “woke” topics. The Daily Mail uses the poll to conclude that “Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party is out of touch with public opinion”. Is that what […]
New article in Electoral Studies: Populist parties in European Parliament elections
In the June issue of Electoral Studies, you will find an article I’ve written together with Mattia Zulianello. In the article, we introduce a comparative dataset on left, right and valence populist parties in European Parliament elections from 1979 to 2019. Here is the abstract: Despite the increasing interest in populism, there is a lack […]
Assorted links #4
91. A Data-Driven Guide to Effective Personal Climate Action 92. 50 tips to improve user interface 93. What I learnt roasting 200 landing pages in 12 months 94. Why Do We Keep Reading The Great Gatsby? 95. Interviewing MPs 96. Thinkers at War – John Rawls 97. Beatport’s Definitive History of Techno 98. Every Country […]
Hyperintelligente superalgoritmer
Politiken kan fortælle, at “en digital superalgoritme med hidtil uset præcision” kan kortlægge hadefulde kommentarer på Facebook. Jeg har ingen idé om, hvad en superalgoritme er, men det skal man nok være enten astrofysiker eller journalistpraktikant for at vide. I en anden artikel kalder Politiken det for en “hyperintelligent algoritme”. Jeg ved heller ikke, hvad […]